A Study of Motor Gasoline, Diesel and LPG Markets in Hong Kong
Findings and Recommendations (Summary) (January 12, 2000)
(
The following summary is also available in PDF format.
)
[This document is a
summary of a Consumer Council study into the Hong Kong Motor
Gasoline, Diesel and LPG Markets. A copy of the study, which
details the results of inquiries, research and surveys into the
three product markets is obtainable for purchase from the
Council.]
| Preface |
| 1. The Consumer Council
(the Council) has long been concerned with the marketing of oil
products in Hong Kong and its implications for consumers. In
November 1998, the industry had also come under questioning from
Members of the Hong Kong Legislative Council (LegCo) at the time.
Concerns were that retail prices for motor gasoline, diesel and
liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) might not be "reasonable", and that
the sales of the products might not be taking place in a
competitive market. The Council had prepared a submission for the
LegCo Panel on Economic Services and made a number of observations
that were ascertainable from information it had collected up until
that time.
2. Accordingly, in late 1998, the Council
decided to embark on a study of the markets for the above three
products, as and when manpower resources became available, in order
to bring some clarity to the debate on the industry and to
ascertain what, if any, recommendations it might have on how the
industry could be made more competitive and efficient.
3. The
Council's work was intended as a starting point for industry action
and for relevant government policy bureaux and industry
departments, to carry on with their allotted roles with regard to
competition, in line with the sector specific approach as
enunciated in the Hong Kong Government's May 1998 "Statement on Competition
Policy". That policy
stated the Hong Kong Government (the Government) would promote
economic efficiency and free trade through competition
by:
- identifying on a sectoral basis, obstacles and constraints
imposed by the Government and other public sector entities which
limit market accessibility and contestability and compromise
economic efficiency and free trade to the detriment of the overall
interest of Hong Kong, and removing them through voluntary,
administrative measures as appropriate; and
- initiating pro-competition measures, on a sectoral basis, in
the government and private sector through administrative,
legislative measures as appropriate.
4. Accordingly, the
Council's study examined:
-
industry trends and
structure;
-
government
regulations;
-
the different
functional levels involved from supply to retail;
-
the state of
competition in the various markets; and
-
makes recommendations
for the Government and industry to consider.
5. At the LegCo panel
hearing in November 1998, the Economic Services Bureau (ESB) also
indicated it would obtain costing and pricing information from the
industry and conduct an analysis to ascertain whether prices were
in fact "reasonable". ESB presented its findings to LegCo on 26
April 1999 and made a number of observations, based on confidential
information that it had received from some industry participants.
The Council was not provided with that confidential information and
has had to rely on the public information contained in ESB's
published report, insofar as the Council's study considers issues
of costs and prices. 6. The study has
examined a number of areas, focusing on the markets for motor
vehicle fuels (i.e. mainly unleaded petrol and diesel, but also
including LPG), and the markets for cylinder LPG and piped LPG for
use as a domestic hot water and cooking fuel. It is the culmination
of all the information obtained, as of the present date, from a
variety of sources. In particular, the Council acknowledges the
assistance and information provided by the following
organizations:
- BP Hong Kong Limited
- Caltex Oil Hong Kong Limited
- Census and Statistics Department
- Concord Oil (Hong Kong) Limited
- CRC Petrol Filling Station Co., Ltd.
- Customs & Excise Department
- Economic Services Bureau
- Electrical and Mechanical Services Department
- Esso Hong Kong Limited
- Feoso Oil Limited | - Housing Authority
- Industry Department
- Lands Department
- Marubeni Hong Kong Limited
- Mobil Oil Hong Kong Limited
- Planning Department
- Planning, Environment and Lands Bureau
- Shell Hong Kong Limited
- Shenzhen Consumer Council
- Transport Department |
7. The petrol filling
station site model in Chapter Four of the study was constructed
with the assistance of Mr. Michael Tse, an ex petroleum industry
executive. The Council wishes to express its appreciation to Mr.
Tse for his assistance in preparing some of the material in that
Chapter. The Council also expresses its appreciation to a number of
business commentators and economists who provided valuable comments
to the Council in the process of conducting the study. Set out
below are the findings and recommendations arising from the
Council's work.
|
Industry Overview
8. In undertaking
this study on the marketing of motor gasoline, diesel and liquefied
petroleum gas (LPG) the Council's intention was to construct a
starting point for relevant government policy bureaux and
departments, to carry on with their allotted roles with regard to
promoting competitive markets within their areas of responsibility,
and to point out deficiencies in the market for industry action.
This is in line with the sector specific approach as enunciated in
the Hong Kong Government's May 1998 "Statement on Competition
Policy". The Chapters in this study provide a range of information
on the industry that should assist relevant government agencies in
their work. This summary highlights the major observations of the
study and lists various recommendations made by the Council, for
ease of reference.
9. The supply of
energy and fuel to Hong Kong markets has come a long way from
reliance on firewood, kerosene, manufactured gas for the privileged
few, to universal coverage of electricity, cylinder LPG, piped gas,
and motor vehicle fuels. The Government's attention has been on the
safety aspects of oil products (characterized by various safety
regulations) and ensuring stability of long term supply. Both of
which are very important. Nevertheless, of equal importance is the
need for competitive markets which through their effects on prices
can be expected to lower the costs of doing business in Hong Kong
and alleviate pressure on household expenses.
Oligopoly Markets
10. The Council's
study indicates that the oil products industry is highly
concentrated (paras 9.18 to 9.24) and largely vertically integrated
(paras 9.29 & 9.30), with three oil companies holding over 70%
of the piped and wholesale cylinder LPG market, 90% of the motor
gasoline market, and 80% of the diesel market (Table 9.1). It is
characterized by relatively small total demand, limited growth
opportunities (para 1.26), and barriers to entry such as the need
to achieve economies of scale in storage and retail and the high
cost of land (paras 9.31 & 9.32). As such the three product
markets can be characterized as oligopolies. Theoretically, the
consequences of this form of market structure can lead to
cooperative behaviour, which may be explicit or implicit in form.
Explicit collusion leads to a cartel, which is usually a target of
scrutiny by jurisdictions with competition oversight. However,
cooperation may also be implicit, in the sense that the few firms
in the market recognize their mutual interdependence and realize
that it is not in their interests to constantly drive prices down
to marginal cost levels. In any case, a symptom of both explicit
and implicit cooperation is that prices are uniform and above their
competitive levels (paras 9.3 to 9.8).
11. In a situation of
tacit cooperation, i.e. shying away from direct across-territory
price competition, oligopolistic firms may still engage in limited
price competition that applies only to specific geographic markets
and/or is tied to promotion schemes, product differentiation, as
well as other forms of non-price competition. Evidence on these
latter phenomena may be taken as proof that there is no explicit
cartel, although it does not necessarily mean that the market is
effectively competitive (paras 9.25 to 9.28).
12. In the present
study, given the limitations in data and information collection, no
direct evidence of explicit collusion has been located. There are
various indications that geographic price competition and non-price
competition have existed, particularly in the past two to three
years, perhaps because of the economic recession (paras 7.8 &
7.15). Given the very high market concentration ratios, however, it
is not clear whether these forms of competition will persist in the
future. The Council is not in a position (without the privilege of
relevant but commercially sensitive data) to estimate the level of
abnormal profit, if any, which is being earned by key market
players (paras 6.18 to 6.26). For the same reason it is not in a
position to ascertain the related welfare benefits and losses to
various parties. However, the Council is sufficiently worried about
the lack of genuine price competition, various entry barriers to
the markets, and the inadequacy in regulatory oversight that
ensures competition (paras 9.40 to 9.48).
13. Under the
circumstances, the best that the Council can do is to make
objective observations about the industry and to propose
recommendations that would in its view improve competitiveness in
the markets under study. The observations and recommendations
contained in this report can certainly be modified and improved in
further studies. In any case, the recommendations here proposed
should be acceptable in most regulatory regimes.
14. While price
comparisons may or may not be good indicators of excess profits, a
concern is that the prices of the products under study, exclusive
of taxes and duties, are observed to be higher than those in other
countries, particularly in the region (paras 6.36 to 6.44). See
figures 6.4 , 6.5 and
6.6 , attached to this summary). Oil
companies advanced the reason that other than the high operating
costs, including land premium, the higher octane level used in Hong
Kong could be part of the reason for gasoline. This raises a
question as to what weight does a high octane rating carry in the
overall pricing of the product and whether Hong Kong consumers
prefer such high quality at a higher price. Irrespective of the
actual market structure, the Council considers that competitiveness
can and should be enhanced through a number of measures.
15. Duties on goods
such as oil products have important policy considerations in that
they raise revenue for general administration and for development
projects, while at the same time helping to keep general tax levels
low. Nevertheless, it has to be recognized that duty represents a
high proportion of the total retail price of motor vehicle fuels. A
high rate of duty, and the way in which it is applied (either on a
per unit basis or an ad valorem (percentage) basis) could affect
the way in which fuel is marketed (paras 2.9 & 2.10). Any
reduction that can be made by retailers might only represent a
small portion of the overall price for the product and it could be
the case that this would suppress interest on the part of retailers
to use price as a major means of attracting customers.
Future Development
16. Long term future
growth for the three products varies. Potential demand for unleaded
petrol can be seen as relatively limited, while diesel will face
decline due to government intervention to replace its use with LPG,
at least with regard to legal sales. Use of LPG as a motor vehicle
fuel will grow, but there will be diminishing demand in the hot
water and cooking fuel market for cylinder LPG. Piped LPG faces
strong competition from Towngas and an uncertain future due to
various restrictions that govern the construction of LPG piping
infrastructure, and the land costs associated with on site
storage.
17. Figures 3.1 and 3.2 in Chapter 3
(attached) illustrate the number of firms operating in the motor
vehicle fuels and LPG markets, the extent to which the industry is
concentrated, and how the majority of operators are vertically
integrated from import to retail, in the case of motor vehicle
fuels, or import to wholesale in the case of LPG.
Motor Vehicle Fuel Retailing
18. While there is no
requirement for motor vehicle fuels marketers to limit themselves
to government tendered petrol filling station (PFS) sites, the
sites do represent the easiest means of entering the retail
segment. Moreover, established filling sites occupy strategic
positions in geographic markets and there is no competition
oversight at the time a lease expires to ascertain whether allowing
the previous incumbent to simply renew the lease has detrimental
consequences in that market. In addition, there is no competition
oversight in the ownership of filling sites within geographic
markets at the tender stage for new filling sites, to guard against
undue concentration within relevant markets. The extent to which
undue concentration in markets is defined might not be an easy
task. However, the analysis starts with the assumption that more
than one participant in a market is a necessary condition for
competition to arise, and that the fewer the participants the
greater the risk that competition will not evolve to its fullest
extent (para 2.29).
19. The study has
identified a number of areas where on the face of it there appear
to be competing sites, but due to the supply arrangements the
degree of competition is uncertain. For example, Esso Hong Kong
Limited (Esso) owns a site in Kwun Tong that is located next door
to a Feoso Oil Company (Feoso) owned PFS which has a supply
agreement with Esso. Likewise, there are two sites closely located
to each other in Tseung Kwan O. One has "Mobil/Concord" signage and
the other has "Feoso/Mobil" signage. Both are operated as joint
ventures with the Mobil Oil Hong Kong Limited (Mobil). One is a
joint venture with Concord Oil (Hong Kong) Limited (Concord), the
other is a joint venture with Feoso. This raises queries as to how
much actual competition exists between the two PFSs within the
geographic area (para 2.27).
20. It is apparent
therefore that geographic markets, and the genuine substitution
possibilities that exist for consumers between different oil
companies within those markets, play an important part in the way
in which competition develops in Hong Kong. This is an important
factor for the Government to consider when locating PFS sites for
public tender, and in determining who should be the successful
bidder for a site (para 7.14). The Government is attempting to
expand the availability of LPG filling sites for motor vehicle
fuels. There is an opportunity here for some pro-competitive
safeguards to be introduced by the Government.
21. Motor vehicle
fuel filling sites are operated under uniform retailing
arrangements where:
- the pump price for fuels appears the same;
- the major source of revenue comes from fuel sales;
- there is little or no opportunity to diversify; and
- there is little discernable difference in the retailing of
motor vehicle fuels between retailers. (See Chapter 5)
22. The area in which
there appears to be strongest competition is in product
differentiation. For example, premium fuels with special additives,
or promotional giveaways (paras 7.15 and 7.16). While price
competition exists, through the application of discounts based on
loyalty schemes, the focus of competition in the future would seem
to be promotion based (para 7.28). Of note is that discounts off
the pump price are significantly greater than they appear and a
significant portion of unit cost would seem to be either used up in
promotional cost, or in the absence of the discounts, could be
regarded as profit (paras 7.31 and 7.32, see also Figure 7.1). It
is also significant to note that price information boards are not
used by retailers in Hong Kong to inform consumers of the pump
price. This denies consumers information on which to base their
purchasing decisions and indicates that price competition is not
considered a major marketing strategy by oil companies (paras 7.18
to 7.24).
23. With regard to
the Government policy to accelerate the supply of auto-LPG filling
sites, the Council welcomes the Government's initiatives in this
area to meet very worthwhile social concerns. It also appreciates
the difficulties in setting an appropriate policy of ensuring
supply of product to meet demand generated by government regulatory
initiative. The Council notes that the nil premium policy would be
necessary to provide incentives and ensure benefits from nil
premium are passed on to consumers. However, in a market that it is
inherently contestable, there should be no need to have an indexing
component to derive final prices for consumers. Indexing, or other
price control mechanisms, would usually only be considered
justified where there are elements of natural monopoly or
insufficient competition in the market. Overall, the Government
must be cautious not to expand wider application of this mechanism
on a long term basis. This is due to the opportunities that could
exist for cross subsidization and manipulation, and the effect this
could have on impeding new entry or damaging the competitive
position of existing market players that do not have retail
operations based on nil premium (paras 5.34 to 5.46).
24. In order for
motor vehicle fuels marketers (who are independent of the importing
oil companies) to compete, they either need their own storage
facilities or access to a competitive wholesale market. At present,
there are substantial investment costs, given the small land area
and high rental value in Hong Kong, to set up adequate storage
facilities. The most likely opportunity for access to wholesale
supply would therefore be to lease capacity from an existing oil
company. The important point to note with regard to storage
capacity in Hong Kong is that all the importing oil companies have
their own storage facilities. The fact that there are separate
storage facilities, each with its own berthing and pumping
facilities would be a positive factor in that there would be
expected to be pressure to utilize the capacity. This indicates
there is opportunity for oil companies to rent their terminal and
storage facilities to new entrants so as to spread overheads and
reduce unit costs.
LPG
25. The wholesale
market for cylinder LPG (i.e. supply from oil companies to cylinder
LPG dealers) is characterized by uniform pricing, with selective
rebates provided to dealers. This uniformity is also symptomatic of
oligopolistic market conditions (para 5.27). Competition could be
improved in this sector through standardizing cylinder connecting
equipment thereby improving the mobility of dealers between sources
of supply.
26. Given the high
set-up and operating costs, required throughput for viability, and
the shrinking market, new entry in cylinder LPG retailing is
unlikely (paras 4.17 - 4.26). From a Council survey of cylinder LPG
prices, there appears to be price competition at the retail level
between dealers, although service can be viewed as a major
determinant in choosing a dealer. In view of the absence of any
overt promotional activities between dealers, consumers are advised
to "shop around" if they are seeking cheaper prices for cylinder
LPG.
27. Piped LPG has
faced regulatory constraints in the past that have hampered its
development. With any obligatory improvements to address safety
concerns it could be regarded as a viable means of furthering the
introduction of common carrier arrangements for gas reticulation
generally in Hong Kong. For example by experimenting within limited
geographic markets, before a territory wide common carrier scheme
(most probably for natural gas) is put into place in the future.
Its promotion may also serve a function of increasing available
infrastructure for vehicle LPG distribution (paras 2.34 to 2.39 and
paras 5.20 & 5.21).
Government Regulations and Oversight
28. In the
Government's May 1998 "Statement on Competition Policy" it was
noted that the Government would promote economic efficiency and
free trade through competition by:
- identifying on a sectoral basis, obstacles and constraints
imposed by the Government and other public sector entities which
limit market accessibility and contestability and compromise
economic efficiency and free trade to the detriment of the overall
interest of Hong Kong, and removing them through voluntary,
administrative measures as appropriate; and
- initiating pro-competition measures, on a sectoral basis, in
the Government and private sector through administrative,
legislative measures as appropriate.
29. The three oil
products under study are only a part of a wider energy sector in
the Hong Kong economy, that also includes electricity, towngas,
diesel sales to the public transport sector and bunkering by the
aviation and shipping sector. Government regulations and policy
initiatives affect the manner in which all of these products are
supplied and consumed in Hong Kong. The regulations and initiatives
cover a range of functions concerned with safety, land planning,
certainty of supply and environmental considerations. A number of
these are outlined in Chapter Two. At present, the functions are
carried out through a division of labor by different arms of the
Government that requires a high degree of coordination. The process
of coordination and development of an energy policy could be
greatly assisted by having one government body, adequately
resourced, having that task. For example, an agency similar to
others in Hong Kong (such as the Tourism Commission). Such a body
would provide an institutional framework for strategic planning of
the energy sector, and be required to develop a clear agenda for
how the various energy needs of Hong Kong are to be met into the
future.
30. Having regard to the Government's
Statement on Competition Policy, and in order to promote
competition and enhance consumer welfare, the Council has put
forward the following recommendations, in three
aspects.
- encouraging entry by new retail
operators, through addressing
issues relating to site retailing and storage which affects
wholesale supply;
- inducing price competition, through the provision of more information
to consumers and by changing the retail environment; and
- improving government oversight, through a more focussed approach in
devising a long term strategy, and better coordination with regard
to regulatory and policy activities.
Encouraging Entry by New Retail Operators
Recommendation 1: Removal of import license and supply contract
restriction
31. There are
currently restrictions on those persons who can bid for a petrol
filling site on offer by the Government. Regulations require either
the holding of a license or being able to adduce evidence of a
guaranteed supply of hydrocarbon oils from a licensed supplier.
This restriction would tend to favor the oil companies against
independent entrepreneurs who do not have the wholesale storage
infrastructure of oil companies. Independent entrepreneurs would be
required to obtain the essential qualification for making a bid
from the parties they would eventually be bidding against for a
site.
32. A possible reason
behind this restriction might be to ensure that a bidder has the
intention to operate a filling station from the site. However, if
this is the reason, there would be other ways to ensure planning
objectives are met. For example, by inserting a covenant on the
lease. In any event, the Government should remove the restrictions
on holding a special importer's license or adducing evidence of a
supply contract before making a bid (para 2.21).
Recommendation 2: Scrutinizing site ownership
33. It is apparent
that geographic markets, and the genuine substitution possibilities
that exist for consumers between different oil companies within
those markets, play an important part in the way in which
competition develops in Hong Kong. It follows that the fewer the
participants the greater the risk that competition will not evolve
to its fullest extent. The Council considers that acquisition of
approved motor vehicle fuels filling site leases, and renewal of
site leases should therefore be scrutinized by the Government for
undue market concentration by the same company within the relevant
geographic market. The Government should consider disqualifying
certain bidders where competition may be compromised, and limit
direct or beneficial interest in the site to classes of persons who
would similarly not compromise the objective of promoting or
preserving competition. Similar conditions could also run the term
of the lease to safeguard against changes in ownership that result
in competitive detriments (paras 2.26 to 2.30, 5.37 to 5.38, 5.41
and 7.14).
Recommendation 3: Flexibility in filling sites
34. Viable
independent new entry can bring about major changes in the highly
vertically integrated motor vehicle fuels sector (import, wholesale
and retail by same company). The Council recommends, in order to
facilitate new entry, that the following steps should be taken to
give wider publicity to the fact that:
- notwithstanding the Government planning guidelines, and
restrictions associated with government tendered filling sites,
there is flexibility in the Government's procedures which allow for
development of filling sites that incorporate the retailing of
other products in addition to motor vehicle fuels; and
- filling sites are not confined to sites identified by the
Planning Department and Lands Department, but that interested
parties may apply for conversion of land lease on suitable
sites.
Recommendation 4: Safeguarding adequate storage facilities
35. Although there
is no limit on entry to the Hong Kong market (i.e. unlike Fixed
Telephone Network Service telecommunications licenses where the
Government determines the number of licenses) participation in the
oil business involves large sunk costs in storage and other
infrastructure facilities, hence posing a significant financial
barrier to entry. The Council observes, however, that the current
oil company importers, each with their own separate facilities,
could be regarded as having spare storage capacity. As such, the
owners of the infrastructure may have an incentive to lease
capacity to potential new entrants to defray the huge sunk costs.
Therefore, separate and independent storage facilities should
ideally be maintained in order to satisfy potential demand from new
entrants at the retail level (para 3.29). If there is any industry
attempt at rationalization of storage capacity the Council
recommends that the Government should consider whether it needs to
facilitate the creation of new infrastructure, or take appropriate
administrative or legislative action to maintain a sufficient level
of competitive storage capacity available to new entrants, or those
resellers currently in the market who lease capacity.
Inducing Price Competition
Recommendation 5: Ensuring competitive behaviour
36. In the absence
of competition laws that provide a safeguard against collusive
conduct between competitors in a market, conditions could be
inserted in filling site leases (either those preplanned by the
Government or leases converted for filling site use) that prohibit
collusive anti-competitive conduct. This form of safeguard would
not be necessary if a competition authority administering
competition laws was in existence. While the Council's preferred
option is for a general competition authority to undertake this
analysis of conduct, in the absence of such an authority, the
Government should ensure that relevant government agencies have
adequate training and resources to undertake the work.
Recommendation 6: Price information boards
37. Price
information boards at filling sites ensure not only the existence
of market price information that is easily viewed by consumers, but
also serve the purpose of on-going price monitoring. The use of
price information boards should be encouraged. An option for the
Government to consider is imposing a condition on the grant of a
petrol filling site lease that price information boards should be
displayed (para 7.24).
Recommendation 7: LPG common carrier
38. Development of
LPG common carrier arrangements in large housing estates using
piped LPG should be encouraged as a means of promoting price
competition, by allowing consumers a choice of suppliers, and
furthering common carrier arrangements for gas reticulation
generally. With regard to existing housing estates, in particular
public housing estates, it would be desirable to encourage LPG
common carrier arrangements by converting the current arrangements
to a common carrier system whereby the fixed costs of the LPG
network and storage area are separated from the variable costs of
LPG supply. The variable cost component would be the functional
level subject to competitive rivalry in the supply to customers.
With new developments utilizing piped LPG, common carrier supply
arrangements could be considered as an alternative to supply by a
single oil company, where the LPG infrastructure (configured to
accept LPG/air) can possibly be later used for natural gas under a
Hong Kong wide common carrier arrangement. This could also serve
the purpose of acting as a test base for a Hong Kong wide common
carrier arrangement (paras 5.20 & 5.21).
Recommendation 8: Standardization of cylinder LPG connecting
equipment
39. Connection
equipment for LPG cylinders should be standardized between the
different oil companies that supply cylinders into the wholesale
market. This will enable cylinder LPG dealers to more easily switch
between suppliers and as a consequence allow greater mobility
between suppliers for consumers (para 5.24).
Improving Government Oversight
Recommendation 9: Competition Authority and Energy Commission
40. The Council has
identified a need for competitive oversight of motor vehicle fuels
filling station ownership (Chapter Two) and the benefits that
competition laws can bring to light in regard to anti-competitive
conduct (Chapter Nine). The Council's first preference is for a
general competition authority to administer this important task. A
general Competition Authority would be the preferred option as it
would be the most cost effective means of addressing competition
issues in not only the oil products industry, but all other
economic sectors. Moreover, a Competition Authority administering
general competition laws that prohibit anti-competitive practices,
such as found in other jurisdictions, that has the confidence of
the public and the business community, could relieve market
participants from constant innuendo that the industry is not
competitive (para 9.40).
41. The Council
considers there is a compelling need for improving the Government
focus in the energy sector, which includes oversight of the various
oil products under study. Accordingly, it recommends that an Energy
Commission be created to coordinate the activities of relevant
government departments, monitor industry trends, develop a long
term strategy for the energy sector and advise on energy policy.
Its responsibility should cover strategic policy issues concerning
energy supply and demand, equipment supply, and safety [1] . Such a body would be in a position to set
an agenda for this important economic sector, and coordinate the
various regulatory and policy activities that affect the way in
which energy is supplied, distributed and consumed in Hong
Kong.
42. In the absence of
a general competition authority having competitive oversight for
the industry, the Council would accept the Energy Commission having
the role of undertaking the various competitive safeguard tasks
outlined throughout this study. Moreover, it could also take on the
role, as part of its strategic planning function, to promote
competition in the various markets that make up the sector, similar
to the role of the Office of the Telecommunications Authority.
Recommendation 10: Monitoring the industry's profitability
trend
43. In view of
widespread public concern over competition in this industry, which
can be viewed in the same light as a major utility, an assessment
of profitability in the industry would be instructive as to the
state of competition in the industry. High profits can indicate
there is little real competition. The Government should monitor the
industry by collecting data from oil companies to enable the
Government to:
- make trend observations on profitability levels in the
industry, along the lines of return on capital or return on assets
(paras 6.18 to. 6.26); and
- make trend observations on the difference between import prices
and retail prices.
44. An appropriate
body to conduct such an exercise would be the Energy Commission,
proposed above. It should be noted, however, that profitability
studies are instructive only for particular periods of time, and
that as markets evolve profitability will also change. Oversight of
competitive conditions in markets therefore need to be equally
adaptive. The mechanisms used in other advanced economies is that
of a general competition law and a certain form of a competition
authority.
45. The industry
also has an obligation to explain why retail prices for oil
products are so high in Hong Kong in comparison with our trading
partners. While a number of reasons have been advanced by the
industry (see paras 6.36 to 6.44) it would be instructive for the
community if some quantification of the reasons behind the high
costs were provided. For example, the degree to which land premiums
impact on retail prices, and how consumption patterns have emerged
that indicate consumers' professed preference for higher octane
fuel.
46. While information
on import prices is publicly made available by the Census and
Statistics Department (CSD) there are time gaps in the provision of
this information due to the time taken for it to be made public
[2] . The Government should seek the
supply of relevant information from oil companies on a voluntary
basis to enable it to gauge the market trend in a more timely
manner (para 6.45).
Recommendation 11:
Competition implications of regulatory intervention
47. The Council
supports the annual reporting by the Competition Policy Advisory
Group (COMPAG) on the various initiatives taken by government
bureaux and departments in reviewing their operations with regard
to competition. The Council trusts that this study will assist in
identifying areas for further government action. The Council
considers that a formal and disciplined approach to assessing the
extent to which existing regulations and administrative action, or
proposed regulatory market intervention, impinge on competition,
would assist in the reporting process by government agencies. For
example, by way of a Competitive Impact Statement (para
2.58).
48. The Council also
recommends that appropriate training should be given to government
agencies to assist them in their competition assessment tasks (para
2.59).
Government Action
49. The Council
does not consider that the above recommendations will involve great
cost increases to the Government. Many of the recommendations only
require a change in government approach, utilizing existing
resources that have already been allocated to the policy oversight
of the industry. Some decisions can be made fairly quickly, for
example by removing the requirement for import license and supply
contract restrictions on persons who can bid for filling site
leases offered by the Government. Other recommendations will
require some time before they can be brought into practice, for
example, scrutinizing undue market concentration.
50. There are two
organizational recommendations that have been made, that on the
face of it may seem to increase government expenditure, and
involvement in the market. The first is the recommendation to
create a Competition Authority administering general competition
laws. The second is the creation of an Energy Commission.
51. The Council has
made recommendations on the issue of a Competition Authority
previously, in relation to other sectors. The Government's response
has been to decline such an approach. Having regard to the
Government's response, the Council has suggested alternative
approaches, that would work within the Government's preferred
policy of sector specific competition oversight.
52. However, it must
be pointed out that the sector specific approach to competition
oversight has its own associated costs and inefficiencies. In the
long run it could be more costly than creating a competition
authority. This is because of the need to duplicate resources
devoted to competition oversight within different government
agencies that could be concentrated in the one agency, and used on
a sector needs basis. A competition authority would also bring
about consistency in the application of competition policy rules,
to the benefit of industry, as it could be expected that if
different government agencies develop their own competition policy
rules, some differences in approach will become inevitable. This
could lead to confusion and added costs to businesses that operate
across different economic sectors. It could also result in damaging
time lags between when a problem emerges and the time taken to
identify and coordinate the activities of responsible
departments.
53. The Council has
recommended the creation of an Energy Commission. The Council's
objective in making this recommendation is to bring together those
areas involved in government policy in planning and developing
policy on Hong Kong's future energy needs. The reason being that
this important sector is largely shaped by government policy that
must be focussed on long term planning, and coordination of various
government agencies. Recognizing that it is unlikely, at least in
the short term, that a Competition Authority will be created, the
Council would see the Energy Commission as being the appropriate
agency to take over competition oversight for the sector. However,
this is very much a second best option, given the efficiencies and
cost benefits that arise from having competition expertise
concentrated in the one Competition Authority.
Industry Action
54. The industry
must explain why the product prices, exclusive of taxes and duties,
are higher in Hong Kong, the contribution of higher octane rating
to the overall pricing of motor gasoline and whether Hong Kong
consumers prefer such high quality at a higher price. Further, the
companies should explain their case that they indeed are operating
in a competitive manner and should make efforts for the consumers
to see that it is really the case. The Council hopes that the
suggestion on price information boards is voluntarily taken up. The
Council considers such action to be relatively simple and would
project a consumer friendly image of retail operations. The Council
would also hope that oil companies will continue their cooperation
in the provision of information to Government to assist with
studies on profitability levels, and to enable rapid comparisons to
be made between import costs and retail prices.
Consumer Action
55. While the above
recommendations indicate areas for industry and government action,
there are also things that consumers can do. Primarily, this
revolves around taking an active role in comparing prices by
shopping around (for not only motor vehicle fuels, but cylinder
LPG) and patronizing those retailers who offer the best deals, in
addition to making their views known on issues such as the
preference for price competition compared to promotional giveaways.
Price information boards at motor vehicle fuels filling sites are
essential to empower consumers in this sense.
56. The above
observations and recommendations set the framework for an agenda
for further investigations into competition in the Hong Kong oil
products sector. As mentioned at the outset, this study is only a
starting point for relevant government policy bureaux and
departments, to carry on with their allotted roles with regard to
promoting competitive markets within their areas of responsibility.
Given the limitations in data and information available to the
Council (it is the Government that either currently has access to
sensitive commercial data, or the ability to obtain those data),
the Council considers that more analyses are needed for
determining:
- the precise level and form of competitiveness, or the lack of
it, in the markets; and
- the extent to which consumers can be benefited by the
introduction of more competition in various forms.
Further Monitoring of Market Structure
57. An important
step is for the Government to examine the implications of the
merger of Esso and Mobil for local markets. It is worthwhile noting
that the merger of the local parent companies Exxon and Mobil
attracted the attention of competition authorities around the
world, and resulted in safeguards being implemented. In the United
States of America (U.S.) for example, the relevant competition
authority, the Federal Trade Commission, required the divestiture
of substantial numbers of filling sites to preserve local
competition at the retail level. Increasing concentration of market
participants in this industry is not a matter that governments can
ignore.
58. Another important
step is for the Government to apply some oversight when deciding
whether any restrictions should be applied to incumbent operators
at the time of renewing leases or awarding bids, given their
substantial presence and power in the market. The process also
begins with removing any government regulations that might impede
new entry. For example, the restrictions that currently exist for
bidders of government tendered motor vehicle fuels filling sites.
It also requires ensuring that government regulations do not
inhibit innovation in the evolution of filling sites. The
introduction of price information boards for filling sites would
also raise the profile of price competition in the market and
provide more information for the community to consider when making
competitive choices. The role that duty plays in price competition
is also a matter that may need further consideration. For example,
whether duty might be better applied on an ad valorem (percentage)
basis, rather than on a per unit basis.
Alternative Land Leasing Procedures
59. Given the
Government's pre-eminent role in the location and availability of
motor vehicle fuel filling sites, the manner in which leases are
granted needs to be considered in detail. For example, what the
implications will be, not only for retail prices but on investment
in the industry, if bidders are asked to bid for sites:
- on a premium only basis;
- on a nil premium basis, with winning bids determined simply on
offers of a price ceiling formula (as is currently the case with
auto LPG); or
- on a combination of premium and offer of price ceiling
formula.
Assessment will also
have to be made on the impact of the revised bidding formula for
new sites on the operations of incumbents who are legally bound to
different rules.
Remote Storage
60. Ensuring access
to competitive supply of product is also a priority, for the
present and the future. Current storage infrastructure arrangements
would seem to be appropriate for maintaining competitive
alternatives. In order to lower operating costs, remote storage
should also be considered as a viable option in the future for
potential new entrants. The extent to which remote storage is
feasible depends on the level of government regulatory/policy
impediments that exist from time to time. These would relate not
only to procurement, storage and transportation considerations, but
policy issues as to whether the Hong Kong SAR needs to keep major
facilities within its geographic boundary.
61. The Council has
not been able to conduct in depth research into a number of matters
noted above, particularly those related to future issues. The
rationale behind this study has been to construct a starting point
for business, government, and other interested parties, including
the Council, in order to provide some impetus to bring about a
momentum for change.
62. The invention of
the motor vehicle has enabled people to move around more freely and
speedily. It is fossil fuels, such as petrol and diesel, which
provide the necessary energy to enable the motor vehicle to achieve
this important function. LPG will soon take on an additional
function, apart from being a cooking and water heating fuel, in
supplying energy to fleets of taxis in Hong Kong.
63. For many
years, consumers in Hong Kong have been asking the question of
whether they are being treated fairly in obtaining the supplies of
petroleum products. They have found that the market in this sector
has not changed much over a long period of time. We know we are not
able to answer all their queries in this report as it is intended
just as a starting point in the study of a complex issue. However,
we strongly believe that our findings could enable the relevant
government agencies and concerned parties within the industry to
carry on the investigation and resolve more issues. We also believe
that our recommendations in the report are practical and can, if
implemented, energize the petroleum products market.





- The Council recommended such a Commission in its 1995 Report
"Assessing Competition in the Domestic Water Heating and Cooking
Fuel Market". It was envisaged at the time that the Energy
Commission would also have a role in safeguarding competition in
the market. However, the report preceded the Council's subsequent
1996 Report "Competition Policy ?/font> The Key to Hong Kong's Future Economic
Success" in which the Council recommended the establishment of a
Competition Authority.
- Currently the Census and Statistics Department releases
aggregated data along with other trade statistics two months after
the information is collected, and is bound to the Special Data
Dissemination Standard which is established by the International
Monetary Fund. Adherence to this standard limits the period of time
in which the data can be released to government agencies prior to
general public release.
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